Ichiro Community Projection Results

by Jeff on Feb 20, 2007 9:06 PM PST in Regular News

May this finally be the year that I stop missing Mike Cameron.

AB: 684
H: 227
2B: 25
3B: 9
HR: 11
BB: 49
HBP: 5
K: 68
BA: .330 (.020)
OBP: .379 (.019)
SLG: .438 (.028)
IsoPa: .049 (.010)
IsoPo: .108 (.014)

(Note: "IsoPa" refers to "Isolated Patience", or OBP - BA, while "IsoPo" refers to "Isolated Power, or SLG - BA. For the rate stats, the propagated error is listed in parentheses. Thanks a million to reader Bryan McCulloch for helping out with the calculations.)

Now to add a little color:

All I'll say is that hopefully the community starts churning out pretty accurate year-to-year Ichiro forecasts, because PECOTA sure as hell doesn't.

Guillen kicks off tomorrow morning as we wrap up the starting position players. After that comes our funny joke of a DH and our godawful joke of a bench. There's a Nick-Swardson-is-way-better-than-Carlos-Mencia bit in here somewhere, but I don't care enough to find it.

0 recs | Comment 6 comments

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Comments

I'd say everything looks fine but the SLG might

be a little high. I guess its not unrealistic though.

Quick question about the projections. Why did you chose not to predict SB and CS? I know you don't need it for the rates but you don't need K either.

by Edgar for Pres on Feb 20, 2007 9:56 PM PST 0 recs

Because I'm pretty sure

tangotiger's runs created modeler doesn't include SB/CS. Technically the categories were Dave's idea, though, so you'd have to ask him.

by Jeff on Feb 21, 2007 5:03 AM PST up 0 recs

Wait a minute

You don't have to miss Mike Cameron if you live in San Diego, do you? I mean, yeah, sure, he's seeing another team, but at least it's not a long-distance relationship any more, y'know?

Marinerds - a different daily dose of baseblog.

by Deanna on Feb 21, 2007 12:48 AM PST 0 recs

Shucks I was away from computers a few days

and a little late but I added my predictions for my favorite player also.
.387 .433 (.491)
With a (hopefully) more potent offense behind him, I think Ichiro will have a great year.

2004-type hitting machine and a better April got me these numbers.

by Tom C on Feb 21, 2007 6:58 AM PST 0 recs