Willie Ballgame Community Projection Results
Based on these results, there are at least 109 people in the world who do not think very highly of Willie's offense.
AB: 209
H: 51
2B: 6
3B: 1
HR: 1
BB: 17
HBP: 3
K: 38
BA: .243 (.024)
OBP: .309 (.027)
SLG: .297 (.039)
IsoPa: .066 (.015)
IsoPo: .053 (.020)
(Note: "IsoPa" refers to "Isolated Patience", or OBP - BA, while "IsoPo" refers to "Isolated Power, or SLG - BA. For the rate stats, the propagated error is listed in parentheses. Thanks a million to reader Bryan McCulloch for helping out with the calculations.)
Graphical form of this projected embarrassment:
For those of you keeping track of this sort of thing, the above forecast actually calls for a regression. Pretty much the only thing Willie did half-decently at the plate last year was draw the occasional walk, and you guys don't think that'll keep up at the same rate (and why would it? Who throws balls to Willie on purpose?). The rest of the line is virtually identical to 2006's, right down to the solitary home run, which must be the result of some kind of hardy, pervasive optimism among the fan base despite Barry Zito's leaving the division for more liberal pastures.
Fun with (more) numbers: according to the spreadsheet, Willie is roughly one standard deviation below Ramon E Martinez. In other words, according to the community, there's about a 16% chance that our super awesome utility player actually resembles a competent utility player (nevermind a super awesome one). So, yeah, God help us if someone gets majorly hurt, because Plan B looks about as appealing as that bar graph.
Pitchers start tomorrow (Felix!), pending a brief introductory post whenever I get around to doing it.
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comments
Comments
Oops
They don't call him Boom-Boom Dynamite for nuttin'.
by AZSEAfan on Feb 27, 2007 2:29 PM PST 0 recs
I like it when the SLG is the same as the BA
by Mariner John on
Feb 27, 2007 3:14 PM PST
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Dang.
by PositivePaul on Feb 27, 2007 3:19 PM PST 0 recs
It's probably accurate...
Favor the Bold
by IcebreakerX on
Feb 27, 2007 3:28 PM PST
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His 1 homer will be of the ITP variety.
by Goose on Feb 27, 2007 3:52 PM PST 0 recs
And we'll hear the
by oompagooba on
Feb 27, 2007 4:37 PM PST
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I had the same thought
by G_ on
Feb 27, 2007 4:39 PM PST
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I'm afraid you're missing a few categories.
Hometown References Per Game(HtRPG)
Isolated Grit(IsoGr)
Different Nickname Per Post Average(DNPPA)
"Happy Hargroves"(HH - Ewwww... Now I'm just going with the low brow humor)
Stolen Hearts[Casual Fans](SHcf)
Stolen Hearts[Real Fans](SHrf - You might as well just set the projection to this at zero)
How Much Better James Earl Jones' Monologue at the End of Field of Dreams Was In Comparison to WFB's Performance Average(HMBJEJMatEoFoDWICtWFBPA)
Dead Hookers(DH)
by AFRanger on Feb 28, 2007 10:00 PM PST 0 recs








